October 2013: How far we’ve come & how far we’ve still to grow

After being unbeaten in September 2013, which included an away win over Zenit St. Petersburg, October 2013 showed me just how far the team has come and, how much more it needs to grow to be a truly elite European team.

October 2013 Results

Champions League, Group H

Celtic Vs Chelsea

Playing the team currently ranked 4th in Europe, even at home, was going to be tough.  That said, it is the home matches which are likely to determine whether or not Celtic get out of this group at all, never mind into the Champions League Last 16.

Celtic Vs Chelsea Formations

For that reason, I set the team up to control the match, my thoughts being that we need to try and score ourselves, more so than prevent Chelsea from doing so.

Celtic Vs Chelsea Overview

And with the help of some incredible individual peformances from Rogne, Mulgrew, Brown and Ledley we did just that.  A Scott Brown goal opened the scoring in the first half while Thomas Rogne headed in a Charlie Mulgrew corner kick to score the 2nd just after half time.

Although the possession statistic shows the match in Chelsea’s favour, Celtic created far more chances, though I know this was partially due to our aggressive style, which meant we committed a lot of fouls too.

But a win is a win, and beating the top seeds in the group at home left us top of the group after two games with Juventus beating Zenit in Turin!

Juventus Vs Celtic

Juventus presented a real challenge to my Celtic side.  On one hand, with key players such as Buffon, Matri and Vucinic injured it looked like we might have an advantage.  In fact, the pre-game analysis has us favourites!  But looking deeper, at Juventus tactical analysis, showed that they were dangerous against my favoured European formation – 41221.

Juventus Vs 41221

It was made all the more difficult by their unusual starting formation (for the modern day that is) of a flat 352.

Juventus Vs Celtic Formations

Although I started with a 451 (of 41221) Counter, I swiftly moved from Counter to Standard to Control strategy as Juventus piled on the pressure.  I also tried to exploit their lack of numbers out wide but was under so much pressure I could never take advantage.

Juventus Vs Celtic Overview

We were well and truly battered.  Some miserable performances from Mulgrew and Izaguirre contributed.  But I take a lot of the blame upon myself.  I was out of ideas of how to cope with Juventus 352 formation and relentless pressing.

Group H

CL Group H Oct 2013 Table

So we’re 2nd in Group H after 3 matches and I’m very happy with that – especially since we’ve only played at home once.  The other results from this group are below.

Group H Results

Co-efficient

It is interesting to look at our co-efficient at this point.

Co-efficient

The green arrow shows that our five-year-rolling-co-efficient will increase from 38.598 this season (13/14) to 40.048 next season (14/15).  That’s because we’re already doing better than our 08/09 total.

That’s great news because it only helps Celtic improve their European standing, albeit by a small amount.  Maybe, if we continue to do well, we can get beat last seasons total of 17.920.

Reflection

It’s the European performance which gives me the title of this article.  On one hand, we beat the top seeded team in our group a comfortable 2-0.  Not only that, but we went into the game with the aim to control it.  That’s quite a distance for this Celtic side to have come, even though it started with real-life manager Neil Lennon’s rebuilding of the squad.  On the other hand, we’ve a long way to go before we can visit the homes of Europe’s biggest clubs and come out with points.  Both myself and the players will need to grow to do that.

SPL

This month I’ve rotated the squad a lot.  Firstly to give the first team players a rest before big European games (e.g. against St. Mirren) but also to try and give the young players in the squad a chance to grow.

That said, there’s no excuse for the draws against Kilmarnock and Aberdeen but it was the senior players who under-performed in these games.

SPL Table Oct 2013

Regardless we’re still unbeaten and still top of the table, with a lead of 6 points, down from 8 last month.

Scottish League Cup

As we have a Champions League match the following midweek of this Scottish League Cup Quarter Final against Hearts, I played a strong side.

Hearts Vs Celtic

The quality shone through, though Hearts had more than enough chances to score.  We’ll play Motherwell in the semi-final next year.

Reserves/U19s

The Reserves are still top of the Reserve (U20s) league by 2 points with a game in hand.  Again, the squad is made up of mostly U19 players with a few seniors to gain match fitness so it shows we’re in a good position for future seasons.

The U19s however are out of the Next Gen Series despite having two games left to play.  Furthermore they are out of the U19s Cup too which is disappointing.  My only thoughts about this are that since effectively the U19s are playing both their cup and the reserve league games that the schedule is too much.  That said, a change of U19s manager might be in order.

Players

Continental Ratings

In Europe the players are still doing very well in spite of the Juventus result.  Mulgrew and Samaras, with ratings over 7.75 are the best performers though I am slightly concerned that Paulo Assuncao hasn’t reached over 7.00.

Overall Ratings

Overall Hooper and Samaras are proving to be a deadly combination, both attaining ratings over 7.80 and are also my top goalscorers.  At the other end, Jacob Barrett Laursen could be doing a little better, especially if he wants a permanent deal.

Finances

Finances

It’s no surprise to see us make a loss last month, but at only £1.3m I’m reasonably happy.  Tax (£1.3m), Wages (£1.2m) and Match Day Expenses (£0.7m) were our largest expenses but Gate Receipts (£2.5m), Prize Money (£0.9m) and Match Day Income (£0.5m) helped curtail the loss.

Projected Profit

Projected profit is down to £18.35m, down from £19m last month but more concerning is that is it down from from the £28.51m from this time last year.

Facilities

That said, spending on facilities might have something to do with it…

Youth Facilities Updgraded

You might remember that this cost £4m.  But it’s good to see these improve and I thanked the board by asking them to increase our Junior Coaching Budget, which they did (reluctantly).

Junior Coaching

It leaves our facilities as follows.

Facilities

I’ve highlighted the improved Youth Facilities (level: Top Youth Facilities) and Junior Coaching (level: Excellent junior coaching) but it’s worth noting that our Youth Recruitment and Training Facilities are in good shape too – allowing me to train the best players for Celtic.

Conclusion

Clearly the squad is moving in the right direction in terms of its European stature, but we’ve also got a long way to go before we can be Champions of Europe.  How would you change the tactics or squad to improve?

About celticman

An avid player of Football Manager since Championship Manager 1 and software engineer.
This entry was posted in Celtic, Champions League, Co-efficients, Expenditure, Finances, Football Manager 2013, Formation, Income, Injuries, SPL, Scotland, Scottish League Cup, Statistics, Tactics, Team Settings, Youth development and tagged , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

10 Responses to October 2013: How far we’ve come & how far we’ve still to grow

  1. jani says:

    Despite the loss to Juventus marvelous results. I think you going to be either 2nd or 3rd in your group. I think you could easily snap points at home which sement your position. Good luck for the upcoming games!

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  2. fmfan12 says:

    when a team plays 2 up front you need to have 3 Central Defenders and 2 central defenders for 1 up front, also try to match their numbers in midfield or have an extra player. overloading on their wings was a good idea but you lacked presence in the central areas. a 4-3-3 or 4-3-2-1 could work, the 2 will be Wingers, the 3 midfield will be flat with defensive duties with passing to wing and the same passing for the fullbacks also set them as wingbacks in support role that would allow nunbers in defence and numbers in attack.

    i think sometimes you can get overpowered or outnumber in the midfield area.

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    • celticman says:

      Sorry I don’t agree. If a team plays 2 up front, then 2 central defenders are fine – providing they are supported either by one of the full backs (e.g. by playing narrow), or a defensive midfielder as I had in my case.

      In midfield I have 5, but I think the wingers were too attacking. Had they had Support duty it might’ve brought them into the game a bit more.

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  3. thems99 says:

    Great win at chelsea to add to win against Zenit, shame about the juventus result but juventus are a good side. May be able to sneak into the next round with a good result against zenit in the return game.

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  4. heron says:

    Great win at home to Chelsea there but Juventus away was always going to be a hard task considering that they’re amazing on this game. Only thing I could think of is maybe playing 5 in midfield against them and only having the 1 striker up top? Anyway, the league looks as good as wrapped up so good luck!

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    • celticman says:

      Thanks heron. When you say play a 5-man midfield against Juventus, do you mean a flat 5 or just change the Duties of, for example the wingers to Support so that they are further back on the pitch?

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    • heron says:

      Meant a flat 5 across. Your players may not be as technically gifted but if you can match them man for man then you might be able to cause them more problems. This also means that their creative midfielders e.g. marchisio will have less space and time to operate in. Hope this cleared what I meant up.

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    • celticman says:

      Cheers it did!

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